Mechanical Engineering Science

Reliability analysis of small failure probability based on subset simulation method

WANGHongtao (School of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China), SolomonKetema Mikiyas (School of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China), AyicheluhemTirfe Natnael (School of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China)

Abstract


In the engineering, to ensure the quality and safety, it is necessary to carry out reliability analysis on it. When conducting reliability analysis in engineering, a large number of small failure probability problems will be encountered. For such problems, the traditional Monte Carlo method needs a lot of samples, and the calculation efficiency is extremely low, while the subset simulation method can efficiently estimate the reliability index of the small failure probability problem with little samples. Therefore, this paper takes the application of the subset simulation method in the reliability analysis of the small failure probability structure as the object, constructs the reliability analysis method of the single failure mode of the system, and applies the method to a mathematical example and a single-story gate. Through the rigid frame example, it can be seen that this method is beneficial to improve the calculation efficiency and accuracy.

Keywords


subset simulation; small failure probability; failure mode; reliability analysis

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References


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DOI: https://doi.org/10.33142/mes.v4i1.7512

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Copyright (c) 2022 Hongtao WANG, Ketema Mikiyas Solomon, Tirfe Natnael Ayicheluhem

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